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The market just had one of its worst weeks of the year and the potential for a stock market crash in 2021 is now higher than ever. Will stocks crash this year and how do you prepare? Check out the stocks I’m buying no matter what in this FREE report! https://mystockmarketbasics.com/motleyfool
The stock market fell every day last week and is now down more than a percent from its peak. Analysts from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup came out last week to warn investors of a September or October crash in stocks…but is it just a lot of fear-mongering? What are the factors supporting the stock market and those that could drive prices lower?
September is historically the worst for stocks with a negative average return but it’s in October that we see the worst stock market crashes like 1907, 1929 and 1987. Will we have another stock crash in 2021?
Listing out the pros and cons for a stock crash, I do NOT think we see any major stock price declines of 20% or more this year or even into next year. Interest rates are still near zero and the Fed is still pumping money into the economy. We’re also expecting significant fiscal stimulus from the government and all this is contributing to 5%+ economic growth. That combined with all the money saved by households and corporations makes it really difficult to see any kind of a big stock market crash.
That doesn’t mean there won’t be stock corrections though. In fact, the market usually goes through at least one or two 5% corrections a year and a 10% correction every two years on average. We haven’t had a 5% correction in more than a year which is extremely rare.
Stock prices are incredibly expensive and there is more money borrowed to invest than ever before. Warren Buffett’s favorite valuation, the total market cap to GDP ratio is at an all time high. Given these points, there are ways to invest to avoid the worst of a stock market correction or even a crash.
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Joseph Hogue, CFA spent nearly a decade as an investment analyst for institutional firms and banks. He now helps people understand their financial lives through debt payoff strategies, investing and ways to save more money. He has appeared on Bloomberg and on sites like CNBC and Morningstar. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation and is a veteran of the Marine Corps.
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